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Assignment Details

Probability is about assessing the chance of something happening while risk is the decision to interact with that uncertainty. We make risky decisions every day based on quick and often intuitive assessments of the probability of negative consequences.

Share a decision you made in the last 2 weeks that involved considering the probability of something happening and deciding to take a risk anyway.

Perhaps you chose to take a new route home from work, drove above the speed limit, tasted a new dish, did not evacuate the premises during a fire alarm, and so on. Then, respond to the following prompts in your main post:

Describe the possible options you had in the context of the decision.

Share the choice that you decided on and your rationale for making that choice.

Read about the decisions shared by your classmates. In your responses to 2 classmates, you could consider whether you would have made the same choice or whether you see other possible options.

For assistance with your assignment, please use your text, Web resources, and all course materials.

Discussion Board Reminders:

Must have three posts:  A Main Post and two replies to peers.

First post

: Either your main post or a reply to others must be posted before midnight CT (Central time) on Friday of each week.

Second and third post

: Must be posted on a different day from the first post.

Connect to Content

: At least one post must refer to course learning materials. See the

Academic Resource on Discussion Boards

for help with connecting to the content.

Engaging in Class Discussions

: For more information on making the most of your class dialog, review the

Academic Resource on Discussion Boards


Grading Rubric

Assignment CriteriaProficient DescriptorPoints

Quality of Main Post

30 Points


Student’s main post meets or exceeds the following requirements:


completely to all of parts of discussion question (8 points)

Communicates content information




(8 points)

Delivers a


response demonstrating insights and reflections (7 points)

Connects to both key

content concepts


personal experiences

(7 points)

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